{"id":3902,"date":"2026-08-15T10:12:48","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:12:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/corporate-movers-usa.com\/?p=3902"},"modified":"2026-08-15T10:12:48","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:12:48","slug":"the-phillies-know-whats-needed-to-make-the-playoffs-heres-how-the-race-for-the-last-two-spots-is-shaping-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/corporate-movers-usa.com\/?p=3902","title":{"rendered":"The Phillies know what\u2019s needed to make the playoffs. Here\u2019s how the race for the last two spots is shaping up."},"content":{"rendered":"<div><div><div><audio><\/audio><\/div><\/div><p>MINNEAPOLIS \u2014 John Middleton got up from his seat in the front row behind the visitor\u2019s dugout at Wrigley Field when a Phillies fan approached.<\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/corporate-movers-usa.com\/?p=3900\">Inside the world of competitive Amish volleyball<\/a><\/p><div><\/div><p>\u201cYou\u2019ve got to believe!\u201d the fan said.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>\u201cListen, I believe,\u201d the owner replied. \u201cBut we\u2019ve got to play better.\u201d<\/p><div><\/div><p>Middleton retells the story every so often because he knows now that it has a happy ending. But nobody foresaw a World Series run in the Phillies\u2019 future on Sept. 29, 2022. Not after a sweep by the Cubs left them clutching a half-game lead for the last National League wild card with six games remaining. <\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>So if you\u2019re down on the Phillies now, think about how you felt then. They hadn\u2019t been to the postseason in a decade, a drought that weighed heavy and negated all benefit of the doubt. Things seemed bleak.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>Four years later, they\u2019ve been through some stuff. And because the guts of the roster hasn\u2019t changed, Kyle Schwarber believes they can lean on those experiences to guide them through the season\u2019s final six weeks.<\/p><div><\/div><p>But the Phillies also entered the weekend here against the Twins with four losses in seven games. They were 11-15 since the All-Star break, a skid that took them from two games behind the division-leading Braves to a tie with the Diamondbacks for the last NL wild card.<\/p><div><\/div><p>Everything feels like it\u2019s headed in the wrong direction.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>And for the first time since 2022, it might come down to the final week of the regular season.<\/p><div><\/div><p>\u201cI think we know what\u2019s at stake,\u201d Schwarber said. \u201cWe all know the writing on the wall. We know that, for where we need to go, that we need to step up in a lot of different ways, in a lot of different areas. And I feel like our team is ready for that.\u201d<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>Ready or not, here they are.<\/p><div><\/div><p>This week brought something different, a 10-hour detour to Iowa cornfields for a glimpse of the Field of Dreams movie site and a 7-1 victory over the Twins. It was a breath of fresh air, an 80-mph changeup amid a slew of triple-digit fastballs.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>But now, it\u2019s a 39-game sprint to the finish. The Phillies started 9-19 and got their manager fired. They went on a 45-24 heater under Don Mattingly to climb back into the race. And the latest stumble has them in a five-team cluster for two wild-card spots.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>The Braves, Brewers, and Dodgers lead the NL East, Central, and West, respectively. The Cubs are comfortably atop the wild-card standings, with a seven-game lead through Friday.<\/p><div><\/div><p>Behind them, the Padres are surging. The Phillies are trying to ward off challenges from the Diamondbacks, Marlins and Cardinals. It didn\u2019t help that they lost two of three in St. Louis this week. <\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>Entering the weekend, the Phillies had an 87.9% chance to make the playoffs, based on Baseball Prospectus\u2019 PECOTA projection model. Baseball Reference had them at 61.2%. Fangraphs split the difference, at 73.9%. A good week at home in back-to-back series against the Marlins and Cardinals would go a long way to boosting those odds.<\/p><div><\/div><p>\u201cWe know the road ahead that we\u2019re going to have, and we know that everyone\u2019s going to be pulling on that same rope every single day and trying to find different ways to execute and win ballgames,\u201d Schwarber said. \u201cIt doesn\u2019t have to be one area every single day. I feel like that all different areas are going to be coming together at a really good time.\u201d<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>Said Bryson Stott: \u201cWe know we have to win games, especially now and coming down the stretch. We\u2019re in a tight race right now.\u201d<\/p><div><\/div><p>It feels like the right time, then, to look closer at the race for the last two wild-card spots. Let\u2019s dive in, with all numbers through Friday\u2019s games.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><h3>Padres<\/h3><\/div><div><\/div><p><b>Record: <\/b>66-57, second place in NL West, second in wild card (one-game lead).<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Strength of remaining schedule:<\/b> .496<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Playoff odds:<\/b> 59% Fangraphs; 58% Baseball Prospectus; 51.1% Baseball Reference.<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Key series:<\/b> Sept. 25-27 vs. the Diamondbacks.<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>The big question:<\/b> Will A.J. Preller\u2019s go-for-it trade deadline spur San Diego\u2019s third consecutive playoff berth and fourth in five years? <\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>Ten days before the deadline, officials from multiple teams were still guessing about Preller\u2019s approach. But the Padres went 8-1 against the Marlins, Rockies, and Giants, and allowed Preller to be Preller. Not only did the hyperaggressive executive hold star closer Mason Miller and reliever Adri\u00e1n Morej\u00f3n, but he sacrificed two of the organization\u2019s top four prospects for rental starters Robbie Ray and Casey Mize, who joined Michael King and soon-to-return Joe Musgrove in an experienced rotation. The Padres came into the weekend having won six games in a row and 16 of 20.<\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/corporate-movers-usa.com\/?p=3898\">2 men wounded in separate North Philly shootings<\/a><\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Outlook: <\/b>Remember the team that went 0-6 in a span of 11 days against the Phillies in late May and early June? Well, these aren\u2019t your father\u2019s Padres. For one thing, their stars have shined. Entering the weekend, Fernando Tatis Jr. had seven homers and a 1.002 OPS since the All-Star break; Jackson Merrill was batting .343 with a 1.032 OPS. Imagine if Manny Machado ever figures it out this season.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><h3>Phillies<\/h3><\/div><div><\/div><p><b>Record: <\/b>65-58, second place in NL East, tied for third in wild card. <\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Strength of remaining schedule:<\/b> .506<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Playoff odds:<\/b> 73.9% Fangraphs; 87.9% Baseball Prospectus; 61.2% Baseball Reference.<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Key series:<\/b> Aug. 31-Sept. 2, at Diamondbacks.<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>The big question:<\/b> Will they run out of major league-quality pitching?<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>In the playoffs, with short series and frequent days off, the Phillies are a dangerous opponent because of their Three Aces \u2014 Cristopher S\u00e1nchez, Zack Wheeler, and Jes\u00fas Luzardo \u2014 and stud closer Jhoan Duran. That\u2019s enough pitching to scare even the Dodgers. But it takes a stockpile of arms to make the playoffs. Dave Dombrowski came up empty at the deadline for a starter (from among a bountiful supply of available starters) and a setup reliever. And so, it\u2019s hardly catastrophizing to wonder if Mattingly has enough trustworthy pitching at his disposal to navigate the next six weeks.<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Outlook:<\/b> At various times, Bryce Harper has used four words that may as well serve as the Phillies\u2019 rallying cry: \u201cJust get us in.\u201d Never mind the divisional-round disappointments of the last two Octobers. The Phillies are actually built for the postseason, with a Jenga-tower roster that\u2019s top heavy with stars. But getting there requires layers of depth on the roster and in the farm system. One injury, especially in the pitching ranks, could cause the whole thing to unravel. Keep an eye, too, on Harper and Schwarber, who have dealt with a sore knee and lower back, respectively.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><h3>Diamondbacks<\/h3><\/div><div><\/div><p><b>Record:<\/b> 65-58, third place in NL West, tied for third in the wild card.<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Strength of remaining schedule: <\/b>.501<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Playoff odds:<\/b> 42.4% Fangraphs; 33.6% Baseball Prospectus; 44.4% Baseball Reference<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Key series:<\/b> Aug. 31-Sept. 2 vs. the Phillies<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>The big question:<\/b> Did they miss an opportunity at the trade deadline? <\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>The Diamondbacks were close to adding righty Clay Holmes to their rotation, but the Mets reportedly backed out over health concerns about one of the prospects in the deal. Arizona\u2019s lone deadline move was for lefty-hitting outfielder Lars Nootbaar, and general manager Mike Hazen didn\u2019t hide his frustration. \u201cIn the end, I could have kept adding,\u201d he said in a radio interview. \u201cI could have kept putting more in to get the deals done and it just didn\u2019t happen.\u201d<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Outlook: <\/b>Unless these Phillies finally win it all, they will be haunted by the 2023 NL Championship Series, when they lost Game 6 and 7 at home. Three years later, the Diamondbacks present many of the same challenges, notably a pesky offense led by Corbin Carroll, Geraldo Perdomo, Ketel Marte, and Gabriel Moreno. They added Nolan Arenado this year, and he\u2019s pushing 20 homers. But the lineup may have to carry them given the rotation depth behind Eduardo Rodr\u00edguez. Rookie lefty Brandyn Garcia recently took over as closer and has been dominant.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><h3>Marlins<\/h3><\/div><div><\/div><p><b>Record:<\/b> 62-61, third place in the NL East, fifth in wild card (three games back)<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Strength of remaining schedule: <\/b>.510<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Playoff odds:<\/b> 11.4% Fangraphs; 10.8% Baseball Prospectus; 17.1% Baseball Reference.<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Key series:<\/b> Sept. 14-16 at Diamondbacks<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>The big question: <\/b>Can they reel off another hot streak?<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>Since June 17, the Marlins won 16 of 20 games, lost 12 in a row, won six out of seven, lost four straight, and won four straight before losing Thursday and Friday. If they were an amusement park ride, they would leave their patrons nauseous. It\u2019s probably the sign of a young team that\u2019s not quite ready for primetime. And the competition will harden, especially in September. The Marlins\u2019 last 15 games are against the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Padres, Cubs, and Braves. How\u2019s that for a gauntlet?<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Outlook: <\/b>The 12-game losing streak turned the Marlins from potential deadline buyers to fence-sitters who leaned toward selling. If they get on a roll, it will be because of the starting pitching, led by Sandy Alcantara and Eury P\u00e9rez. Max Meyer, an All-Star and emerging ace, has been sidelined with a neck strain since July 19. It\u2019s unclear whether he will return before the end of the season. The Marlins traded catcher Liam Hicks to the Rays but held on to Otto Lopez and Xavier Edwards, the most underrated middle infield in the sport.<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><\/div><div><h3>Cardinals<\/h3><\/div><div><\/div><p><b>Record: <\/b>61-61, third place in the NL Central, sixth in wild card (3\u00bd games back)<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Strength of remaining schedule: <\/b>.499<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Playoff odds: <\/b>8.6% Fangraphs; 4.2% Baseball Prospectus; 15.8% Baseball Reference.<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Key series: <\/b>Aug. 21-23 at Phillies<\/p><div><\/div><p><b>The big question: <\/b>Can an accidental contender keep contending?<\/p><div><\/div><div><\/div><p>Not only didn\u2019t the Cardinals plan on contending this season, but at the trade deadline, president of baseball operations Chaim Bloom acted as if they weren\u2019t. In addition to sending Nootbaar to the Diamondbacks, Bloom packaged starter Dustin May and reliever JoJo Romero to the rival Brewers for prospects. Yet the Cardinals won three series in a row since the deadline, taking two of three from the Yankees, Rockies, and Phillies. If they\u2019re still in the race after next weekend\u2019s series in Philadelphia, maybe they will actually have staying power in September. <\/p><div><\/div><p><b>Outlook: <\/b>The Cardinals have balance in the top half of the lineup, with rookie sensation JJ Wetherholt and Alec Burleson from the left side of the plate and Home Run Derby champ Jordan Walker and Iv\u00e1n Herrera from the right. And they\u2019re calling up outfield prospect Joshua B\u00e1ez, who is bringing 34 homers from triple A to the majors this weekend. But an unexpected strength has been the young starting pitchers, chiefly Andre Pallante, Kyle Leahy, and Michael McGreevy. Never heard of them? If the Cardinals are able to hang in there, they will be big reasons why.<\/p><div><\/div><div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"128\" height=\"128\" alt=\"The Inquirer logo\" class=\"wp-image-47\" src=\"https:\/\/corporate-movers-usa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/faba80d67140212ba32240655442c529.png\"\/><\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n        Watch the latest episode\n      <\/div>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Tony Gwynn Jr.<\/strong> is a former major league outfielder and son of late Hall of Famer Tony Gwynn. Over the last two years, he got to know new Phillies second baseman Luis Arraez, whose contact skills at the plate often draw comparisons to Gwynn. Tony Jr. joined <em>Phillies Extra<\/em> to discuss his father, Arraez, and the bonds that connect them. Watch here.<\/p>\n<p>You can also subscribe to the podcast version of <em>Phillies Extra<\/em> on Spotify or Apple Podcasts.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Previous episodes<\/strong>: Kevin Stocker |\u00a0Bobby Dickerson |\u00a0Jim Bowden |\u00a0John Middleton |\u00a0Ryan Howard |\u00a0Dan Baker |\u00a0Ricky Bottalico |\u00a0Preston Mattingly |\u00a0Caleb Cotham |\u00a0Larry Bowa<\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/corporate-movers-usa.com\/?p=3897\">The four remaining golfers in the U.S. Amateur field at Merion includes a longtime local caddie<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For the first time since 2022, the Phillies\u2019 playoff fate might come down to the final week of the regular season. Let\u2019s take a closer look at the race in the National League.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3901,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Phillies know what\u2019s needed to make the playoffs. Here\u2019s how the race for the last two spots is shaping up. - Corporate Movers USA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/corporate-movers-usa.com\/?p=3902\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Phillies know what\u2019s needed to make the playoffs. Here\u2019s how the race for the last two spots is shaping up. - Corporate Movers USA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"For the first time since 2022, the Phillies\u2019 playoff fate might come down to the final week of the regular season. 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